SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
CLIMATE PROTECTION INITIATIVE

Facilitators:

 
Kathy Conway
(573) 651 - 2445
kconway@semo.edu

Alan Journet
(573) 651 - 2366
ajournet@semo.edu
Who Endorses and Rejects the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Conclusions Regarding Climate Change?

Climate Change Consensus: For and Against


Alan Journet
Co-Facilitator, Southeast Missouri Climate Protection Initiative
Professor, Department of Biology and Environmental Science Program
Southeast Missouri State University
      

Scientists are often reluctant to comment publicly in their area of expertise. This results from the fear of misunderstanding and misrepresentation by reporters lacking expertise who are required to write stories sexy enough for editors to select them for publication or broadcast. 

            Twenty years ago, Dr. James Hansen, climatologist and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, warned Congress that global warming posed a serious planetary threat.  As evidence supporting his conclusions mounted, Hansen courageously frequently spoke and wrote further about the threat climate change poses.  The 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported an extremely broad scientific consensus that is consistent with Hansen’s warnings.

It is worth clarifying exactly what the current scientific consensus is.  It is based on the IPCC conclusions that: (1) it is unequivocal that the planet is warming, and (2) there is a 90% probability that human actions are contributing. Many scientists additionally have echoed Hansen’s warning that the high probability of human causation constitutes a call to political action. 

            With advances in our understanding of climate change and its causes, professional scientific organizations increasingly endorsed the IPCC conclusions.  Currently, over 40 expert scientific organizations and academies have done this, several of them specifically employing the term ‘consensus.’  Scientific organizations are formed to further the cause of their discipline – not to promote a political or ideological agenda; each organization reached its conclusion by evaluating the scientific evidence.  Notably, professional scientific organizations are funded largely from member subscriptions rather than outside sources.

With the 2007 release of a neutral position by the previously opposed American Association of Petroleum Geologists, there now remains no major national or international scientific body that rejects the IPCC conclusions.  Overwhelming scientific agreement with the IPCC conclusions exists. To argue otherwise requires a profoundly stubborn rejection of reality. 

Meanwhile many non-scientific organizations from across the political spectrum (e.g. Republicans for Environmental Protection) and a range of religious views (e.g. The Evangelical Climate Initiative) have endorsed the IPCC conclusions and acknowledged the importance of action.

Of course, there also exist organizations that reject the IPCC conclusions.  According to published mission statements their goals are not to promote scientific understanding but, driven by a political agenda, to influence public opinion.  As a result some have been opponents of the developing scientific consensus regarding climate change and its causes from the 1980s. While some of these entities include staff scientists, such individuals are committed primarily to furthering organization goals, not promoting scientific understanding. 

Since many of the personnel are affiliated with several organizations, skeptic arguments are largely driven by the same handful of individuals. Only a few of these have credentials in relevant scientific disciplines.  Additionally, unlike the IPCC and the scientific organizations discussed above, these skeptic organizations share a common feature: they are funded to a large extent by corporations, especially the energy industry – and particularly Exxon/ Mobil which has funneled some $23 million into them over the past ten years. Indeed, some were established by energy corporations with the express purposes of undermining public acceptance of the developing scientific climate change consensus and promoting public rejection of the IPCC conclusions.

The differences between the objectives and funding sources of scientific organizations endorsing the IPCC and opposed non-scientific organizations compromise the conclusions of the latter.  Upton Sinclair wrote: "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it."

The individuals and the non-scientific organizations who have voiced skepticism regarding the climate change consensus generally are:

-               Scientists with expertise who committed very early against either the evidence of global warming or the role of human activity but have not acknowledged increasingly compelling evidence,

-               Scientists without relevant expertise who consistently reject the evidence and/or who receive funding from corporate energy and serve these sources rather than scientific understanding.

-               Non-scientists with no expertise who are committed to a political philosophy they feel demands rejecting IPCC conclusions.

The skeptics also exhibit the characteristic of not having published their views in the relevant peer-reviewed scientific literature.  Additionally, unlike the scientific community, where a climate change consensus has been achieved, the skeptics have not reached consensus: Do they reject global warming? Do they reject human influences? Do they think atmospheric carbon dioxide increase is beneficial? Or do they accept climate change basics, but just reject the predicted severity?

As the 20th anniversary of his 1988 testimony to Congress arrived, Hansen returned to Congress. This time he warned that the carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere is already above a safe level and must be reduced.  He further suggested that the heads of companies such as Exxon/Mobil and coal giant Peabody Energy are guilty of actively promoting the spread of distortions and disinformation. 

A brief discussion of prominent organizations and individuals endorsing and rejecting the IPPC conclusions can be found below.

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Scientific Organizations Endorsing IPCC
Non-scientific Organizations Endorsing IPCC
Scientific Organizations Rejecting IPCC
Non-Scientific Organizations Rejecting IPCC
Individuals Endorsing IPCC
Individuals Rejecting IPCC

Relevant Scientific Organizations Endorsing the IPCC Conclusions:

InterAcademy Council comprising Presidents of the Science Academies of Brazil, Chile, China, France, Germany, Hungary, India, Iran, Japan, Malaysia, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, African Academy of Science, and the Academy of Science of the Developing World.  
Joint Science Academies comprising Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Italy, India, Japan
, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, United Kingdom, United States*, International Council of Academies of Science and Technological Sciences. 
European Academy of Sciences and Arts 
Network of African Science Academies*
U.S. National Academies:
"The U.S. National Academy of Sciences joined 10 other national science academies today in calling on world leaders, particularly those of the G8 countries meeting next month in Scotland, to acknowledge that the threat of climate change is clear and increasing, to address its causes, and to prepare for its consequences. Sufficient scientific understanding of climate change exists for all nations to identify cost-effective steps that can be taken now to contribute to substantial and long-term reductions in net global greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming. The statement echoes the findings and recommendations of several previous reports by the U.S. National Academies."
U.S. National Research Council
International Council for Science
European Science Foundation
American Association for the Advancement of Science*
Federation of American Scientists
World Meteorological Organization
American Meteorological Society*
U.K. Royal Meteorological Society
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
International Union for Quaternary Research
American Quaternary Association
Stratigraphy Commission of the Geological Society of London
|International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
International Union of Geological Sciences
European Geosciences Union
Canadian Federation of Earth Sciences
Geological Society of America
American Geophysical Union
American Astronomical Society
American Institute of Physics
American Physical Society
American Chemical Society
Engineers Australia
U.S. Federal Climate Change Science Program.
Union of Concerned Scientists In part developed as a counter to the
OISM petition discussed below UCS released a petition which served as "a call to our nation's leaders to require immediate, deep reductions in heat-trapping emissions that cause global warming. The statement is endorsed by more than 1,700 scientists and economists with expertise relevant to our understanding of the scientific and economic dimensions of climate change, its impacts, and solutions. This marks the first time leading U.S. scientists and economists have joined together to make such an appeal." 

*      Indicates organizations employing the term 'consensus' in their statements.

For additional information on these organizations, visit:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change#Joint_science_academies.E2.80.99_statement_2007

        Some Non-Scientific Organizations Endorsing the IPCC Conclusions:

        The Evangelical Climate Initiative
        According to their web site this group states: "Now is the time for followers of Christ to help solve the global warming crisis. There is overwhelming evidence that human activity is a major cause, and we know that the impacts of climate change would be hardest on the poor and vulnerable, and on future generations. · We need to act, and everyone has a role. As Christian citizens we can learn more, make personal changes, and rally action. Christian leaders can join more than 120 other senior evangelical leaders who have signed the Evangelical Call to Action on Climate Change. For policymakers, it’s time to make wise and moral choices to protect God’s world and its people. · Join us. Take the next step."

        Republicans for Environmental Protection (REPAmerica
        According to a lead article by Dr. John Bliese entitled 'Facts and Myths about Global Warming: A Conservative Perspective': "Global warming is one of our most critical environmental problems, but it is surely the most misunderstood. There is a lot of misinformation out there, and there has also been a disinformation campaign by some special interests who want to protect their short-term profits by preventing us from solving the problem. Unfortunately, some conservative organizations and publications have participated in this disinformation campaign."

        Environmental Defense
        Natural Resources Defense Council
        Wilderness Society
        National Parks & Conservation Association
        Friends of the Earth
        Audubon Society
        Sierra Club
        Conservation International
        World Wildlife Fund
      

        Scientific Organizations Rejecting the IPCC Conclusions:
        NONE

        Leading Non-scientific Organizations Rejecting the IPCC Conclusions:

        American Enterprise Institute
           
"The American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research is a private, nonpartisan, not-for-profit institution dedicated to research and education on issues of government, politics, economics, and social welfare. Founded in 1943, AEI is home to some of America's most accomplished public policy experts--from economics, law, political science, defense and foreign policy studies, ethics, theology, medicine, and other fields."  According to the Greenpeace factsheet, AEI received $1,870,000 from Exxon/Mobil between 1998 and 2006. Not surprisingly, AEI suggests: "The claim that the science of climate change is “settled” beyond dispute is belied by the almost-weekly publication of peer-reviewed research that is inconsistent with or directly contradicts the conventional narrative of catastrophic climate change."

        American Petroleum Institute, according to Wikipedia is:
"the main U.S trade association for the oil and natural gas industry, representing about 400 corporations involved in production, refinement, distribution, and many other aspects of the industry. This association is often referred to as AOI or The American Oil Industry."  Essentially, this IS the oil industry.  It funded production of the 2003 article by Soon (see below) and Baliunas (see below) that challenged the consensus regarding global climate over the last 1,000 years.

       Cato Institute
            "
The Cato Institute seeks to broaden the parameters of public policy debate to allow consideration of the traditional American principles of limited government, individual liberty, free markets and peace."
            According to Sourcewatch
R.J. Reynolds (RJR) identified the Cato Institute an organization they could rely upon to help the tobacco industry "shift the debate and framework under which cigarette-related issues are evaluated in the future." Also, this source reports "Today, most of its financial support [comes] from entrepreneurs, securities and commodities traders, and corporations such as oil and gas companies, Federal Express, and Philip Morris that abhor government regulation."  According to the Greenpeace Factsheet, CATO has received $125,000 from ExxonMobil between 1998 and 2004.

        Competitive Enterprise Institute
            This is
"a non-profit, non-partisan research and advocacy institute dedicated to the principles of free enterprise and limited government. We believe that individuals are best helped not by government intervention, but by making their own choices in a free marketplace."
            Initially heavily funded by energy corporations, especially Exxon, following the release of Al Gore's 'An Inconvenient Truth' Exxon ceased funding CEI and CEI advertisements that welcomed increasing Carbon dioxide.  According to Sourcewatch CEI has a goal of "challenging government regulations", while promoting property rights as a solution to environment problems, and opposing US vehicle fuel efficiency standards. CEI has also been a booster for the drug industry."
According to the Greenpeace Factsheet, CEI has received $2,005,000 from ExxonMobil between 1998 and 2006.

        Center for the Study of Carbon dioxide and Climate Change   states that it
"was founded and is run by Craig D Idso [B.S. in Geography, Arizona State University; M.S. in Agronomy, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Ph.D. in Geography, Arizona State University] along with his father, Sherwood B. Idso [previously Research Physicist, U.S. Department of Agriculture and Adjunct Professor in the Departments of Geology, Geography, and Botany and Microbiology, Arizona State university], and brother Keith E Idso [B.S. in Agriculture, University of Arizona; M.S., same institution with a major in Agronomy and Plant Genetics;  Ph.D. in Botany, Arizona State University].  Julienne Idso is Operations Manager. They came from backgrounds in agriculture and climate, and became involved in the global warming controversy through their study of earth's temperature sensitivity to radiative perturbations and plant responses to elevated CO2 levels and carbon sequestration." The Center defines itself as being established "to disseminate factual reports and sound commentary on new developments in the world-wide scientific quest to determine the climatic and biological consequences of the ongoing rise in the air's CO2 content."  According to the Greenpeace Factsheet. the Center has received $100,000 of Exxon/Mobil funding since 1998 when it was founded.  Sourcewatch, meanwhile, notes that in 1999, the Idsos claimed to have completed a study commissioned by the Western Fuels Alliance Greening Earth Society (see  below).

        George Marshall Institute
            According to the institute itself, "
The George C. Marshall Institute was established in 1984 as a nonprofit 501(c)(3) corporation to conduct technical assessments of scientific issues with an impact on public policy."  According to Sourcewatch funding, however, incorporates vast contributions from the Exxon Foundation and Scaife Foundations that finance conservative causes.  According to the Greenpeace Factsheet GMI has received $715,000 from ExxonMobil between 1998 and 2006.

        Global Climate Coalition
            According to Sourcewatch it was created in 1989 , one year after the IPCC and included
Amoco, the American Forest & Paper Association, American Petroleum Institute, Chevron, Chrysler, Cyprus AMAX Minerals, Exxon, Ford, General Motors, Shell Oil, Texaco, and the United States Chamber of Commerce.  It disbanded in 2002.  The same source also indicates that "The Global Climate Coalition (GCC) was one of the most outspoken and confrontational industry groups in the United States battling reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. Prior to its disbanding in early 2002, it collaborated extensively with a network that included industry trade associations, "property rights" groups affiliated with the anti-environmental Wise Use movement, and fringe groups such as Sovereignty International, which believes that global warming is a plot to enslave the world under a United Nations-led "world government."  According to the Greenpeace GCC received zero from ExxonMobil between 1998 and 2006.

       Greening Earth Society
        This society was founded on Earth Day 1998 by the Western Fuels Alliance according to the Union of Concerned Scientists "
to promote the view that increasing levels of atmospheric CO2 are good for humanity." Additionally, according to Wikipedia the society "promotes the idea that there is considerable scientific doubt about the climate-warming effect of carbon dioxide. The Society publishes the World Climate Report, a newsletter edited by Patrick Michaels (see below) of the Cato Institute (see above). UCS reports that the Western Fuels Association/Alliance is: "a cooperative of coal-dependent utilities in the western states that works in part to discredit climate change science and to prevent regulations that might damage coal-related industries."  GES is not reported to have received ExxonMobil funding by the Greenpeace Factsheet but this organization essentially IS the Western Fuels Association - a non-profit cooperative that supplies coal and transportation services to consumer-owned electric utilities throughout the Great Plains, Rocky Mountain and Southwest regions..

       Heartland Institute
            According to the institute itself, its mission is "
to discover, develop, and promote free-market solutions to social and economic problems." According to Sourcewatch, among other positions held by this institute are the following "opposition to the Kyoto protocol aimed at countering global warming and promoting genetically engineered crops and products; it supports the privatization of public services; it opposes tobacco control measure such as tobacco tax increases and denies the health effects of second-hand smoke; it supports the introduction of school vouchers;, and it promotes the deregulation of health care insurance."  This is the institute that recently (September 2007) claimed to have a list of "500 qualified researchers whose research in professional journals provides historic and / or physical proxy evidence that refutes the scientific consensus on climate change and its causes."  However, immediately upon being notified of their inclusion on this list, many scientists demanded that they be removed denying that their research substantiates anything of the kind.  Subsequently, the Heartland Institute backed away from its initial claim, but has refused to remove from its list those scientists rejecting its claim.  According to the Greenpeace Factsheet this Institute has received $676,500 from ExxonMobil between 1998 and 2006. 

        Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine

            According to its web site OISM is a "non-profit research institute established in 1980 to conduct basic and applied research in subjects immediately applicable to increasing the quality, quantity, and length of human life."  The expertise of the staff is reflected in the reported research undertaken at OISM in biochemistry.  There is not a single scientist on staff with any expertise in a discipline related to climate change research.  Additionally, OISM has been heavily involved, since the last century (late 1990s) in a 'petition project' designed to cast public doubts that there is a scientific consensus on climate change.  Notable faculty members (in this context) are biochemist Dr.  Arthur B. Robinson and sons Biochemist Dr. Noah E. and Veterinarian Dr. Zachary W. Robinson, plus Dr. Jane Orient Executive Director of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons and editor of (and frequent author in) the Journal of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons previously known as the Medical Sentinel.    The Greenpeace Factsheet does not list any ExxonMobil funding to OISM.   

            Since 1997, OISM has been the lead organization pushing the 'Global Warming Petition Project.'  The text of the petition is:

"We urge the United States government to reject the global warming agreement that was written in Kyoto, Japan in December, 1997, and any other similar proposals. The proposed limits on greenhouse gases
would harm the environment, hinder the advance of science and technology, and damage the health and welfare of mankind.

"There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gasses is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth."

            When first circulated to U.S. scientists a decade ago, the petition was accompanied by a letter from a former National Academy of Science President (the late) Dr. Fred Seitz (co-founder and then  Chairman Emeritus of the George Marshall Institute - see above) and an article formatted to look like be a peer-reviewed publication from the prestigious Proceedings of the National Academy of Science although it was never submitted to that journal, and was not peer-reviewed.  The Seitz letter furthered the deception by describing the article as "an eight page review of information on the subject of 'global warming.'  Following queries regarding this article, a NAS Press release responded: "The petition does not reflect the conclusions of expert reports of the Academy." The NAS further noted that its own prior published study had shown that "even given the considerable uncertainties in our knowledge of the relevant phenomena, greenhouse warming poses a potential threat sufficient to merit prompt responses. Investment in mitigation measures acts as insurance protection against the great uncertainties and the possibility of dramatic surprises."
        The article itself,  titled "Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide," was authored by Arthur B. Robinson, Sallie L. Baliunas, Willie Soon, and Zachary W. Robinson.  The first and last authors are both members of OISM (Arthur being the Director and Zachary being Arthur's son) while Sallie Baliunas (see below) and Willie Soon (see below) were (and still are) astrophysicists at Harvard University however, in the article they identified themselves with the George C. Marshall Institute (see above) rather than Harvard - probably as an accurate reflection of the relative merits of the science versus the political opinion contained in that article.  This article is very difficult to find now since on every link it has been replaced with a 2007 article published in the Journal of the American Physicians and Surgeons Association bearing the same title but authored by Arthur B. Robinson, Noah E. Robinson, and Willie Soon (Noah being another of Arthur's sons). The original 1997 article was published in 1998 in the Medical Sentinel (later becoming the Journal of the American Association of Physicians and Surgeons).  Meanwhile, another article - very similar in many respects and bearing exactly the same title - was published in Climate Research in 1999.  The later 2007 article is little more than a warmed-over version of these earlier articles.
            The publications of the early and later versions of this paper are interesting and illustrative in themselves.  As is the case with the Journal of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, the name to which Medical Sentinel changed, MS was also the journal of the American Association of Physicians and Surgeons and was produced at OISM edited by staff member Dr. Jane Orient. AAPS is "widely credited for their effective work toward preventing socialized medicine in the Unites States;" the organization considers that socialized medicine is "evil" and "immoral".  Medical Sentinel was "committed to publishing scholarly articles in defense of the practice of private medicine" and the pursuit of liberty, free markets and integrity in medical research..." Presumably JAAPS follows the same principles.
            Signatories to the petition were and are able to submit via the Internet, with the result that vetting of names and credentials is not easy - if, indeed, it was seriously attempted.  By June of 2000 the claim was that 19,000 scientists had signed, although Robinson acknowledged that far fewer than this number were physicists, geophysicists, climatologists, or meteorologists, "and of those the greatest number are physicists."  Many names are suspected of being forgeries and many others are names of individuals from TV programs, movies, and fiction.   Currently, the petition (OISM claims) contains over 31,000 signatories, but the same caveats apply.  Additionally, a number of early signatories have requested their names be removed. Of course, it should also be remembered, that the bulk of these signatories were added before the latest (2007) IPCC report was released and thus were added at a time when the scientific consensus was less well developed. It was the latest (2007) IPCC report (AR4) which contained the most compelling assessment.         
            While Medical Sentinel and JAAPS claim to be peer-reviewed journals, given its focus, the AAPS membership base, and the association with OISM it is not clear from where any expertise sufficient to peer review a manuscript dealing with climate change might come.  The frequency with which articles published in these journals have been authored by the editor and other OISM staff raises suspicions about the integrity of the 'double blind' peer-review process JAAPS claims to employ.  

            Science and Public Policy Institute     

            According to Sourcewatch, Robert Ferguson is the President of the Science and Public Policy Institute, formerly the Frontiers of Freedom Center for Science and Public Policy, an organization that promotes the views of global warming skeptics.  The Greenpeace ExxonSecrets website states that "Ferguson set up the Center for Science and Public Policy in early 2003, after receiving a $100,000 grant from ExxonMobil in 2002 - specifically tagged for the center. Exxon has continued to fund the Center each year since then, to the tune of at least $50,000 a year." According to Wikipedia, SPPI and its predecessor have received $190,000 from Exxon/Mobil.

            Science and Environmental Policy Project
            According to its SEPP: The Science & Environmental Policy Project was founded in 1990 by atmospheric physicist S. Fred Singer (see below) on the premise that sound, credible science must form the basis for health and environmental decisions that affect millions of people and cost tens of billions of dollars every year.  According to Sourcewatch: it began as a research effort for a book Dr. Singer was writing on global warming. 
According to the Greenpeace Factsheet SEPP has received $20,000 from ExxonMobil between 1998 and 2006.

Funding sources for these organizations?

        These are all non-profit entities, meaning they do not pay taxes; contributors evade taxes on the contributions that promote their continued existence.
        According to the Greenpeace Factsheet, between1998 and 2006 Exxon/Mobil contributed over $3.5 million to those organizations listed here that are philosophically opposed to the IPCC climate change conclusions and recommendations.  In fact, over the period 1998-2008, Exxon/Mobil has  contributed over $23 million to skeptic organizations.  Meanwhile, Exxon/Mobil had first quarter earning for 2008 of $10.89 billion, which factors at the rate of $5 million and hour.  As Upton Sinclair wrote: "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it."

Notable Individuals Supporting the IPCC Conclusions:

Senator (and GOP Presidential candidate) John McCain: "Today I'd like to focus on just one of those challenges, and among environmental dangers it is surely the most serious of all. Whether we call it "climate change" or "global warming," in the end we're all left with the same set of facts. The facts of global warming demand our urgent attention, especially in Washington. Good stewardship, prudence, and simple common sense demand that we to act meet the challenge, and act quickly."


Former head of the Republican National Committee
Ken Mehlman has said: "Republicans lost in 2006 because independents abandoned our party,” Mehlman continued by asking: “How do we earn the confidence back of independents? [Climate change] is an issue on which not only you can do it, but it’s an issue on which you can do it consistent with conservative values.”

According to the Boston Globe, in a story on former GOP House Speaker, and 1994 Contract with America Architect, Newt Gingrich: "In a Capitol Hill debate about global warming touted by its moderator as a "smackdown" between former House speaker Newt Gingrich and Senator John F. Kerry of Massachusetts, Gingrich praised Kerry's recently released book about environmentalism, acknowledged that global warming is real, and offered what amounted to an unexpected apology for his party's inaction on curtailing greenhouse gas emissions."

President George W. Bush, in his 2007 State of the Union message argued: "America is on the verge of technological breakthroughs that will enable us to live our lives less dependent on oil. And these technologies will help us be better stewards of the environment, and they will help us to confront the serious challenge of global climate change."
 
According to the web site of Senator and Democratic Presidential candidate Barak Obama: "The issue of climate change is one of the greatest challenges that our generation faces. Senator Obama believes that the U.S. must take aggressive action now to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases that contribute to climate change."

Some Leading Individuals Rejecting the IPCC Conclusions:

Dr. Sallie Baliunas is an Astrophysicist (not a climate scientist) associated with Harvard University and is Senior Scientist with The George Marshall Institute (see above).  Baliunas has long rejected the notion that there is a connection between between CO2 rise and climate change.  In a 2001 essay with Willie Soon (see below) she claimed that satellite and balloon data showed that no warming had occurred in the atmosphere in the last 50 years. This claim, however, was incorrect, as satellite data show.  Later, Baliunas acknowledged the warming reported in the data, but resorted to the fall-back position that this was not related to human activity.  (For comments on a Baliunas and Soon publication see Chris de Freitas below.)
            Although articles to which Baliunas has contributed suggests that solar activity is the cause for the warming of earth's climate, in 2008 Sallie Baliunas (Associate of the Harvard Observatory) seems to have reversed herself.  At a 2008 Boston symposium on the causes of climate change (global warming) where human activity was cited as the most likely culprit, Baliunas responded to her own question: "Did the sun cause what we see on the ground?” by concurring with the symposium theme, and answering: “It doesn’t seem so.”  Apparently Baliunas is changing her mind.

Dr. Michael Crichton has a medical degree though apparently has never practiced.  He has no credentials in climate science, though has undertaken post-doctoral study at the Salk Institute for Biological Sciences in California. In a speech entitled 'Aliens Cause Global Warming' Crichton stated "Historically, the claim of [scientific] consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels" and "the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus."  Crichton, a science fiction writer with seemingly few, if any, credentials in science, is very wrong.  In science, consensus arises from the peer-reviewed scientific literature.  When an idea has been studied by many scientists, and all results point in one direction, consensus has been achieved.  Indeed, the very notion of what constitute the theories and laws that define our understanding of how the universe operates, are exactly consensus.  It is our acceptance of this consensus that allows us to fly humans to the moon and other planets, to cure disease, and to enjoy the technological advances that have accrued of the centuries.  Denying the concept of scientific consensus is absurd and futile.  Science fiction ideas in his novel State of Fear are often cited by skeptics as though they have some credibility, though they do not. However, these ideas are based on outdated data.

           Dr. John Christy, a Professor of atmospheric science at the University of Alabama (Huntsville), was a lead author of the 2001 IPCC report.  In the early 1990s Christy published data indicating that upper tropospheric (at 10 – 15 km) temperatures were decreasing when conventional climate change theory predicted they should be increasing.  This probably had an impact on the Baliunas position noted above.

However, Christy’s data have since been corrected – not once, but many times – as understanding of techniques improves.  In 2006, Christy co-authored a research paper that stated “current upper air climate records give reliable indications of directions of change (e.g. warming of the troposphere, cooling of the stratosphere [above the troposphere to 50 km]).”  Subsequently, Christy apparently rejected his more recent view and returned to the earlier view based on incorrect data. Then, later he stated that he agrees with the view that human activities are a cause for climate change but criticizes those making catastrophic predictions of huge increases in temperature or tremendous rises in sea levels.  Though he is often lauded as a skeptic, where Christy currently stands seems unclear.

             Christy is co-author of the American Geophysical Union statement on climate change: "The Earth's climate is now clearly out of balance and is warming. Many components of the climate system--including the temperatures of the atmosphere, land and ocean, the extent of sea ice and mountain glaciers, the sea level, the distribution of precipitation, and the length of seasons--are now changing at rates and in patterns that are not natural and are best explained by the increased atmospheric abundances of greenhouse gases and aerosols generated by human activity during the 20th century."

          Dr. Chris de Freitas, a climatologist and Associate Professor at the University of Auckland in New Zealand, thinks that carbon dioxide emissions may not be the source of recent global warming.  Formerly an editor of Climate Research, de Freitas received a manuscript from and approved publication of a review article critical of the climate change consensus by two noted skeptics, the astrophysicists Sallie Baliunas (see above) and Willie Soon (see below). According to DeSmogBlog.com, following 2003 publication of the paper 'Proxy climatic and environmental changes of the past 1,000 years', 13 of the authors cited in the paper refuted the Baliunas and Soon interpretation.  In addition, according to one of the resigned editors, Clare Goodess: [the] paper includes funding acknowledgements to NOAA, NASA and the US Air Force, as well as to the American Petroleum Institute (see above). Yet NOAA flatly deny having ever funded the authors for such work, while the other two bodies admit to funding them, but for work on solar variability – not proxy climate records, the topic that has caused such a storm.'  Goodess also noted that half the journal editorial board resigned in protest. Subsequently, publisher Otton Kinne of Inter-Research, appointed Hans von Storch as editor-in-chief and acknowledged that peer-review had failed to prevent a seriously flawed manuscript from being published; this changed the peer review process to require that all manuscripts be submitted directly to the editor-in-chief rather than to one of the other editors.  However, as a result of disagreement with the editors Storch resigned before assuming the post.  Not surprisingly, a press release by one of the authors initiated interest from the Bush White House, which tried to get the EPA to include reference to it in an annual report.  When EPA staff refused the White House request, all mention of climate change was removed from the EPA report.  Equally unsurprisingly, Oklahoma Republican Senator James Inhofe (see below) called a Senate Hearing to debate the paper.  In contravention of accepted scientific protocol, where papers only appear once in one journal, a more extensive version of the same paper was later published in Energy and Environment, another journal with questionable peer-review procedures (see Stephen McIntyre below). 

            Sherwood, Craig, and Keith Idso  (See
Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change above).  These individuals were co-authors with Willie Soon (see below) and Sallie Baliunas (see above) of a paper appearing in the marginal social science journal Energy and Environment (see Stephen McIntyre below) that purported to challenge evidence regarding the warming of the last decades of the 20th century - but see Realclimate for reference to the extensive rebuttals appearing in the peer-reviewed literature to this paper.

Senator James Inhofe R. Oklahoma is notable for having described climate change as a hoax and citing the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine petition (see above) as evidence.  Inhofe, who reportedly often cites the Bible as as the source for his positions on political issues, also has compared the United States Environmental Protection Agency to the Gestapo, and has alleged that The Weather Channel is behind the global warming hoax as a ruse to attract viewers.  In relation to the reported prisoner abuse at Abhu Graib in Iraq, Inhofe was not outraged at the abuse but "outraged by the outrage." Inhofe has no credentials in climate science.

             Dr. Richard Lindzen, a Professor of Meteorology at MIT and member of the National Academy of Science  (NAS), has received considerable funding from the energy industry proponents of skepticism (defining conflict of interest) yet has not published any evidence supporting his skepticism. To substantiate claims of lack of consensus Lindzen has pointed to an unpublished manuscript by Benny Peiser that actually lists only one contrary – but unpublished paper.  Interestingly, Peiser himself has subsequently acknowledged that “the overwhelming majority of climatologists agrees that the current warming period is mostly due to human impact.”

            It is interesting to note that, in 2001, Lindzen co-authored a National Academy of Science review of the IPCC analysis which concluded “Greenhouse gases are accumulating in Earth’s atmosphere as a result of human activities, causing surface temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures to rise. Temperatures are, in fact, rising.  The changes observed over the last several decades are likely mostly due to human activities.” That NAS report endorsed the IPCC conclusion that the greatest climate forcing gas is carbon dioxide.  This Lindzen paper also concluded that the IPCC report represented “an admirable summary of research activities in climate science….”  While Lindzen accepts that global warming is happening, contrary to the conclusion reported immediately above, he also rejects the argument that it is caused by human activities. It is curious that Lindzen would now – even as the evidence strengthens – deny IPCC conclusions. As a result of his activities, such as his associations with various institutes listed above, consulting, and traveling to testify, and although he has denied it,  Lindzen has received considerable funding from oil and coal corporations.  It is worth noting that Lindzen also argues that claims of the health risks of smoking and passive smoke inhalation are overstated. 

Stephen McIntyre, has degrees and expertise in mathematics, philosophy, politics, and economics has no advanced degree and none in climate science - yet he is a critic of the generally accepted temperature record of the last 1,000 years, the work of climate scientists Michael Mann, and the quality of the data produced by NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.  His major expertise is in hard rock mineral exploration, in which he has worked for some 30 years.   He published, along with Ross McKitrick (see below) and article in Energy and Environment that criticized the analysis of climate scientists Dr. Michael Mann, though this critique has been well refuted.

            Energy and Environment, is a social science journal found in only a handful of libraries worldwide and is not listed in Journal Citation Reports which lists the impact of the top 7,500 scientific journals.  Former editor-in-chief of Climate Research  Hans van Storch (see Chris De Freitas above) pointed out that "[this journal is] attractive for skeptic papers. They know they can come through and that interested people make sure the paper enters the political realm.” Its editor Sonja Boehmer Christiansen is a reader in geography at the University of Hull (U.K.) who describes her doctoral work as covering international relations, but says she consults others before publishing any studies in her journal and indicated: “My science is A-level chemistry, physics, one year of geography at university, and a bit of math.” She adds that her husband has a Ph.D. in physics.“  Boehmer-Christiansen also stated: “I’m definitely a political scientist,” and "It’s only we climate skeptics who have to look for little journals and little publishers like mine to even get published.”  While ignored in the scientific arena, articles appearing in this journal are quoted often by skeptics and the politicians that have chosen to adopt the skeptic line.

Dr. Ross McKitrick is an economist at the University of Guelph in Ontario who published a paper with Stephen McIntyre (see above) in the questionably relevant and minor social science journal Energy and Environment (see Stephen McIntyre above) that criticized a 1998 paper by Mann, Bradley and Hughes published in the preeminent and peer-reviewed scientific journal Nature. The MBH paper discussed analyses and concluded that there existed remarkable global warming during the late 20th century.  Following introduction of the McIntyre and McKitrick paper into the political arena, the U.S. National Academy of Science was asked to evaluate it.  That evaluation concurred with the Mann, Bradley, and Hughes conclusions not the McIntyre and McKitrick criticism.  The M&M paper - which was rejected by Nature following peer review, has been evaluated by RealClimate but see also the Info-Pollution page.  Additionally, in its evaluation of the Mann et al paper and the McIntyre/McKitrick critique, the National Academy of Science concurred with Mann: "A panel convened by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) endorsed, with a few reservations the work of Mann and others. One of the panel's reservations was that "...a statistical method used in the 1999 study was not the best and that some uncertainties in the work 'have been underestimated,'..." However, from a climate perspective, the panel concluded "Based on the analyses presented in the original papers by Mann et al. and this newer supporting evidence, the committee finds it plausible that the Northern Hemisphere was warmer during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period over the preceding millennium." Meanwhile Jay Guyllidge Ph.D., Senior Fellow of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change remarked to the Senate Committee:"
1. The scientific evidence of significant human influence on climate is strong and would in no way be weakened if there were no Mann hockey stick.
2. The scientific debate over the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) has been gradually evolving for at least 20 years. The results of the Mann hockey stick simply reflect the gradual development of thought on the issue over time.
3. The impact of the McIntyre and McKitrick critique on the original Mann paper, after being scrutinized by the National Academy of Science, the Wegman panel and a number of meticulous individual research groups, is essentially nil with regard to the conclusions of the Mann paper and the 2001 IPCC assessment."

            Dr. Patrick Michaels, a part-time researcher at the University of Virginia and former university climatologist for the state and staff member with two right wing institutes: the George C Marshall (see above) and CATO Institutes (see above) while editing the World Climate Report produced by the Greening Earth Society (see above), acknowledges the basic science behind climate change, but rejects the climate change models as fatally flawed, and naïvely thinks global warming might be beneficial.  He seems not to have published on the topic in the scientific literature at least this century although he has published opinions frequently for right wing political organizations. 

Dr. Arthur Robinson , Dr. Noah E. Robinson , Zachary Robinson are the primary staff of the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (see above) which, despite a lack of expertise in any related field, developed, circulated and publicized with the George Marshall Institute (see above) a petition drive initiated in 1998 and continued through 2007 that purported to demonstrate that there was no scientific consensus regarding the IPCC conclusions on climate change and global temperatures during the last 1,000 years.

Dr. S. Fred Singer, an environmental scientist (atmospheric physics) and Professor Emeritus from George Mason University and (1989) founder of the Science and Environmental Policy Project (see above), is a solid skeptic who questions the connection between second-hand tobacco smoke and cancer, CFCs (chlorofluoracarbons) and atmospheric ozone depletion, and human activity and climate change.  Singer has a long record of associating with right wing organizations and receiving funding from energy corporations.  SEPP has also been funded by Rev Sun Myung Moon and the right wing Unification Church which owns the Washington Times. Though he has frequently produced mass-media publications on climate change, there appears no record of peer-reviewed scientific publications – at least none this century.  

Dr. Willie Wie-Hock Soon is an astrophysicist at the Solar and Stellar Division of Harvard University and has a long and senior association with the George Marshall Institute (see above) and the Science and Public Policy Institute (see above). With Sallie Baliunas (see above) and others (see Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine above) he has published articles in such questionable journals as Climate Research, Energy and Environment and the Journal of the American Association of Physicians and Surgeons and a book questioning the IPCC conclusions regarding global temperature patterns of the last 1,000 years. (see Chris de Freitas above)  This work was funded by the American Petroleum Institute (see above).

             Dr. Roy Spencer is a principal research scientists at the University of Alabama (Huntsville (see also John Christy above).  According to Wikipedia, he supports intelligent design, and is skeptical of the role of humans in influencing global warming. He is also a member of both the Heartland Institute (see above) and the George Marshall Institute (see above).  He has published frequently with John Christy, but it is not clear whether he has accepted the American Geophysical Union acknowledgement of the consensus penned by Christy (see John Christy above).

            In the peer-reviewed relevant scientific literature acknowledgement of the legitimacy of the IPCC conclusions is overwhelming.  Recognizing the negative impact of this pattern on public perception of their minority views, the skeptics have resorted to publishing in a handful of minor (and often totally irrelevant) journals that either boast editors who are committed to publishing the skeptic view or have questionable peer-review procedures allowing skeptics to achieve publication without appropriate scientific evaluation of their ideas and conclusions.  The handful of individuals, few of whom have credentials in a relevant field, persist in their skepticism but the actual subject of their skepticism varies.  the skeptics seem unable to agree on what they think.  Some argue there is no global warming, others claim that it is occurring but humans are not responsible, and yet others claim that increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will be beneficial. Once published, their questionable articles are immediately circulated through the skeptic community and touted to receptive politicians and political commentators as indicating genuine scientific dispute with the overwhelming consensus.  Besides the repeated cross-references to the questionable and refuted articles of one another, they repeatedly cite web sites and blogs to justify arguments. 

IF NOT US, WHO?                       
                                 IF NOT NOW, WHEN?

When future generations ask: will we be part of the problem, or part of the solution?
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Web Page Last Updated 04/21/2009
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